TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$486,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Under71c56,704$40,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,450.411776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over29c40,739$11,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,814.4174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over44c24,099$10,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,660.624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c23,808$14,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,931.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c19,901$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c15,945$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,852.852,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over19c14,090$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.323,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over1c10,101$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under68c8,989$6,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.3944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under75c6,072$4,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.7236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under64c6,000$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.252,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under70c5,018$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.2786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under78c3,732$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.4444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under58c3,707$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.1836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under46c3,552$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.6716755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Over61c3,081$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.3515936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over64c2,945$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.8611561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c2,939$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.071,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under69c2,928$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.3437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c2,796$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.432,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under70c2,555$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.5725857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over19c2,442$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.622,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under57c2,323$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.738,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c1,981$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.874,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under56c1,788$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.1323637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f1…8207backed Over53c1,725$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.152552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under67c1,710$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.2825049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c4…a00fbacked Under48c1,663$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.011275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over31c1,633$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over49c1,571$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.381,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over34c1,517$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.7743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over49c1,400$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9911156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over38c1,351$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.6427032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under80c1,324$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over32c1,259$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4122932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over56c1,248$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over52c1,187$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.721,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under57c1,169$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.4725244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under72c1,067$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c993.52$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.992,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under57c985.45$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.6736234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over52c963.76$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over54c924.66$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.167639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c879.02$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under69c860.07$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.621,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Over67c837.7$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.261421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over30c831.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c816.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3434334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over35c699.64$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over15c653.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over55c648.09$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.243545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Over31c645.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under63c623.5$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0770750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over55c608.2$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5129558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c578.34$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Over53c555.95$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2969629.2%28 W · 68 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over33c539.01$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under70c527.72$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3139050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over39c512.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under60c510.06$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0216165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over38c488.94$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4417827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over27c407.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over58c399.49$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2433438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over54c386.06$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under56c354.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0113247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over29c339.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9728…cb59backed Over61c320.61$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.571827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over31c312.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19823440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9320825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14135424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f6…ee3ebacked Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…3ae9backed Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507938%30 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Over31c265.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1115131.8%48 W · 103 L-16.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under50c251.13$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.089835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under51c243$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over31c240.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6519935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc932…289bbacked Over30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed Under71c227.25$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.92669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over60c217.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9934533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over30c215$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.52,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under71c202.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6515156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9827028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Over48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510250%51 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Over28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6711537.4%43 W · 72 L-10.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cc2…bf53backed Under56c199.07$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.593754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under50c197.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.