TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$531,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$546,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under74c54,870$40,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,277.292,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c50,096$17,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,022.141,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under72c42,029$30,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,729.084040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over28c35,573$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over0c29,000$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0412114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over25c18,937$4,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,734.3714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c18,652$5,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,906.423,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under57c17,409$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,408.82839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Under57c13,449$7,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.953661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80027845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c9,843$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.541,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under71c8,364$5,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.2477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under66c7,723$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under72c7,500$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under75c7,338$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.665948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over32c7,230$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.4131545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over25c7,110$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under75c6,082$4,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under74c5,327$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.362,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over25c5,150$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.541,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c4,956$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2392,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Under75c4,753$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.337631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Under57c4,557$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.565349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over25c4,444$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over25c3,477$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.3422813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over25c3,200$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over24c3,049$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.162,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under55c2,817$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.8666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over26c2,782$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under58c2,686$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.211844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under74c2,677$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.391,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under68c2,652$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.751,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under56c2,647$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.777640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under75c2,584$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over24c2,450$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over20c2,206$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.062,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over2c2,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c2,185$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.812,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c2,130$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over25c2,100$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52528025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under75c2,100$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over25c1,935$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.731,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Under74c1,767$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.096352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over25c1,760$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4407842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Under59c1,701$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.2711436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Under58c1,333$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under65c1,288$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.091,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Under76c1,282$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.613453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Over25c1,253$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1610328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6e…2ecabacked Over40c1,251$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over25c1,216$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.916346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over7c1,200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.737451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under59c1,181$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.3615257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd582…4561backed Over17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under56c1,154$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.456747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under75c1,138$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.441,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c1,132$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.881,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under62c1,119$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.5516153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over45c1,098$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4948243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under75c1,059$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8652744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Under56c1,013$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.883551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over26c999.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1117030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over24c953.54$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.169534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under67c946.79$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2918548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under75c921.42$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Under59c900$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.852669.2%18 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over30c882.46$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7516637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over19c830.33$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4226949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…bfd0backed Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004429.5%13 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over7c799.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Under58c794.35$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.115048%24 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf1…d61abacked Under59c792.15$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.789340.9%38 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over27c784.73$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8317535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under55c779.36$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.713461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under73c776.41$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over26c749.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Under57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.759730.9%30 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over26c688.46$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17922355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Over37c683.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6119031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under69c679.32$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.081,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x366e…dc73backed Under74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.689743.3%42 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c670.68$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under75c666$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.52,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Under65c658$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x385d…fdeebacked Under64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.387055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked Under58c606.76$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.762171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under71c605.39$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4457541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Over35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over24c599.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9914440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c578.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.431,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.