Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b462d223d232972014ad9dfd41b5783a9315ace88281e5839c062fc565cd51f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 7,703$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 4,935$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 60c | 2,100$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 33c | 910.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 55c | 869.41$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 867.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.26 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 33c | 763.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 39c | 732.06$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 19c | 640.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 19c | 621.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked No | 54c | 614.4$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 61c | 490.77$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.62 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Yes | 51c | 392.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 18c | 291.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…ab9abacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 245.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 49c | 245.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…48b9backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 38c | 184$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 56c | 181.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 154.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked No | 67c | 140.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 18c | 140.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 136$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 33c | 133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…60a1backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 54c | 94.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 84.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c64…75afbacked Yes | 19c | 77.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 72c | 70.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…e6babacked Yes | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…1c98backed No | 65c | 49.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 58c | 48.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…1736backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…4270backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 56c | 29.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…1f2abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 14.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.