TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c125,395$69,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,931.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over45c93,124$41,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,968.4842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over46c21,745$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c12,551$6,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,732.22,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c11,626$6,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,372.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c11,490$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,055.874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c9,475$5,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,216.293,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under57c7,427$4,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.89551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c6,816$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over45c5,111$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over45c4,831$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over39c4,591$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.42,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over44c4,462$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.258530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over45c4,405$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over45c4,353$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.748652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under54c3,600$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6565356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under55c3,563$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.186452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c3,372$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.812,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c3,236$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over48c3,235$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.2212763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under55c3,223$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.991,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under55c3,203$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.281,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over43c2,945$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.3536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over49c2,450$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Under55c2,310$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over45c2,174$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.352552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under55c2,023$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.1816258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over35c1,999$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8211147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over46c1,870$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8607038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over29c1,854$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.731,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7146550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over46c1,122$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5164643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over45c1,121$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48411642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over44c1,082$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over47c1,013$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under54c999.97$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over31c988$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Over46c869.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.594035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c850$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.261,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over44c713.64$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31418742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c712.65$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.063,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over45c680$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Under54c640.03$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.413363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under54c618$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2812344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over50c600.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Over46c565.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over44c555.54$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4410051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over45c533.33$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Under56c528.57$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.577247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c526.66$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under56c512.15$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b7…2d2cbacked Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over40c474.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c471$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.233,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c462$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.522,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c452.41$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over8c428.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.322,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c390.79$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.481,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over45c374.8$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.665042%21 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under55c371.87$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.261,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over43c361.86$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.62035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c352.63$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13410330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over45c352.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15382348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over47c338.56$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1219935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under57c317.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8947546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over45c306.42$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8910432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under54c300$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13727939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c291.88$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under55c291.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over44c276.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8713157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over46c257.61$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.510540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over44c231.82$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over43c228.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.175145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over44c227.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014946.3%69 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b86…ff5bbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over47c227$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Over45c223.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.719053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2854…927cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008161.7%50 W · 31 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.