Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad1b097b9115a8087cc00f60c994df98e9acd630657822f39f5eaf2f9ec7deb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 45c | 2,138$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.13 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 1,600$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 1,254$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.84 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 34c | 1,095$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.74 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 58c | 534.24$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 54c | 500$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 56c | 456.58$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 49c | 286$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 46c | 254.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.91 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 246.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 227$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 227$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 223$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 61c | 202.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 197.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 39c | 184.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 167.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 21c | 152.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 58c | 151.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 71c | 133.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Under | 34c | 127.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 123.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 46c | 122.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Under | 34c | 106.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 59c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Over | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 65c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Under | 56c | 82.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…f6a1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 47.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 46c | 41.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 56c | 33.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Over | 46c | 31.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…9d60backed Under | 64c | 31.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Over | 42c | 30.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 43c | 26.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 57c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Türkiye (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.