Fifa International · resolved market
Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967f709334d4173d05165490b182b673d64f5bf3aec81bcc4a682551e5db91ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 3,265$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 60c | 2,204$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.69 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 49c | 599.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 423.78$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 62c | 371.52$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Over | 65c | 359.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 323.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 42c | 118.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under | 47c | 99.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…d99dbacked Over | 72c | 57.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 71c | 54.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Under | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…946ebacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 46c | 25.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5this page
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.