Fifa International · resolved market
Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0de3c132d389048c78c4649bda7ec9bf7da72f8ee7875595f0059f8a9fb29fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 6,493$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,441.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 1c | 5,729$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 19c | 1,283$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 34c | 1,071$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 18c | 328.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Under | 73c | 181.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 19c | 164$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 20c | 146$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +103%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 21c | 132$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over | 20c | 114$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 78c | 96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 80c | 75.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Over | 20c | 67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 105 | 68.6%72 W · 33 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 21c | 59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 22c | 47.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 77c | 46.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Under | 80c | 42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 78c | 41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 80c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Under | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Under | 79c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Under | 80c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Under | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 59c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Over | 76c | 25.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 78c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…41f2backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Under | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Under | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Under | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Under | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5this page
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.