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Fifa International · resolved market

Equatorial Guinea vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under62c31,943$19,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,647.642065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c24,122$9,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,933.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over38c6,291$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900.7976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under66c3,068$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.374540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over38c2,016$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.758960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over40c1,740$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.655042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over42c714.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.182839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Over38c518.47$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.331330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under60c508.21$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.172770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under60c456.02$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6121444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1236349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under56c175.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1314537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over41c174$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Over41c172$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Over42c159$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Over41c135$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.651080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Over41c122$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over37c108.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.177642.1%32 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under57c94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Under66c90.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Over41c88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under60c82.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over40c81.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.72425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcff6…09bdbacked Under64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c75.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4611552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Over41c69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over40c67.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.219046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Under57c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe615…506fbacked Over39c63.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under57c63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Over40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over41c59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c55.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over37c54.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1919540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under57c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11dc…f4dcbacked Over41c49.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Under59c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Over41c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+285.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Under59c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…5830backed Over40c46.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Under59c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Under59c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Under59c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Under59c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over58c36.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.217665.8%50 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Under59c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+96.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x795f…1871backed Over43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over41c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Under59c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under59c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Under59c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over39c30.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Under59c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Under59c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Over43c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Under59c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Under59c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Under59c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Under59c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Over42c28.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.572142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over43c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95d…ca8dbacked Over44c27.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over41c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Under59c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Over43c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Over42c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Under59c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157247.2%34 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Over43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Under59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Under59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Under57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Under59c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Under59c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Under59c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Under59c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Under59c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Under59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Under57c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Under59c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under59c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Under60c18.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.893850%19 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Under57c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under58c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Under59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.