TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Furman Paladinsof Mercer Bears, Furman Paladins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde6d…0926backed Mercer Bears25c8,419$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.733834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Mercer Bears21c2,993$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.181,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Furman Paladins74c2,178$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7223158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins67c2,083$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.65,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Furman Paladins61c2,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7906443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mercer Bears49c1,819$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.523,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Furman Paladins73c1,142$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.011,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Furman Paladins51c1,102$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.271376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+48%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins58c1,041$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Furman Paladins70c752.83$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2231,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Mercer Bears42c670$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.416051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Mercer Bears35c545.38$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.881,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Furman Paladins65c517.97$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.454,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Mercer Bears25c516.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0542327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Mercer Bears38c464.71$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4349043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Furman Paladins64c447$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.922,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercer Bears23c417.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.081,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Furman Paladins77c400$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.836845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Furman Paladins79c356.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.081,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Mercer Bears44c342.64$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.762748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mercer Bears19c311$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.542,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mercer Bears41c264.57$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Furman Paladins76c255.7$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9412840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Mercer Bears41c244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.042040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mercer Bears25c231.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mercer Bears38c211.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.572,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mercer Bears22c211$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.421,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Mercer Bears9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Furman Paladins74c189.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Mercer Bears27c168.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Mercer Bears38c163$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.946253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Mercer Bears38c163$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.948043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Furman Paladins79c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins58c123$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.635,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Furman Paladins72c117.52$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1748051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Furman Paladins63c110$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mercer Bears32c108.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.043,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Mercer Bears38c91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.585639.3%22 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Mercer Bears28c70.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mercer Bears44c67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.342,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Mercer Bears18c65.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.119412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mercer Bears22c64.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.374,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Mercer Bears38c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.325450%27 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Mercer Bears19c63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e8…0b04backed Furman Paladins72c62.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Mercer Bears43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.86750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Mercer Bears38c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.045844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Mercer Bears36c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5263551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mercer Bears38c54.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.951,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…c86fbacked Mercer Bears38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Furman Paladins57c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Furman Paladins75c47.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Furman Paladins68c47.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.085253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Mercer Bears39c46.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0621535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Furman Paladins62c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Furman Paladins62c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.723641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Mercer Bears43c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.497335.6%26 W · 47 L-9.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Mercer Bears43c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.494355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Furman Paladins62c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.583053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a400backed Furman Paladins62c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Furman Paladins62c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.682560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Mercer Bears43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.483441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Furman Paladins62c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.922560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Furman Paladins79c32.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0f…1132backed Furman Paladins65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Mercer Bears40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mercer Bears39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Furman Paladins70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Furman Paladins61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.318050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Furman Paladins62c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.022842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Furman Paladins62c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.023868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Furman Paladins62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.121850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Furman Paladins63c23.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.736558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Furman Paladins57c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.892147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Furman Paladins62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.742864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Furman Paladins65c21.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c81…4e8dbacked Furman Paladins69c21.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed Furman Paladins60c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c70…1d71backed Furman Paladins63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Furman Paladins62c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.222846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Furman Paladins62c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.223652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…f50abacked Furman Paladins61c17.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed Furman Paladins62c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.463852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.