Token Launches · resolved market
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeef938e0a9f5a90cba923daddb79e66d353e87371b2e895964c3ca37431bf15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $586,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Yes | 4c | 12,477$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 77c | 10,020$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…8356backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…c465backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 7c | 7,896$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.74 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 13c | 6,783$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.87 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…bea0backed Yes | 2c | 6,696$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…806bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,723$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…2a87backed Yes | 8c | 3,870$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…c464backed Yes | 6c | 3,487$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3220…f613backed Yes | 6c | 3,422$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,388$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…36ffbacked Yes | 6c | 3,240$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f1c7backed Yes | 5c | 2,991$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…1f07backed Yes | 5c | 2,951$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8d57backed Yes | 5c | 2,947$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…dc5ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,926$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,877$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…c716backed Yes | 5c | 2,823$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…6657backed Yes | 5c | 2,723$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 10c | 2,704$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.32 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a1…5e8fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,667$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 11c | 2,400$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…f3b7backed Yes | 5c | 2,156$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…074fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,122$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…8a91backed Yes | 6c | 2,117$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b7…9a11backed Yes | 6c | 2,029$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,015$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…c857backed Yes | 6c | 2,012$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…861bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,980$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…85cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,979$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…088ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,968$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…c7babacked Yes | 5c | 1,919$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…874bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,908$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…6502backed Yes | 5c | 1,903$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…57a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,890$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…2363backed Yes | 4c | 1,875$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…fa42backed Yes | 5c | 1,862$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…2e38backed Yes | 5c | 1,809$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…9506backed Yes | 6c | 1,726$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…c3b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,701$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…9785backed Yes | 6c | 1,688$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…70febacked Yes | 5c | 1,683$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 15c | 1,635$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked Yes | 5c | 1,600$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,598$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…8a98backed Yes | 4c | 1,576$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,540$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…35bfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,525$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…fb78backed Yes | 5c | 1,523$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…525abacked Yes | 5c | 1,518$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…d9e0backed Yes | 5c | 1,518$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ceb…60a3backed Yes | 16c | 1,510$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…7089backed Yes | 5c | 1,460$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…d63abacked Yes | 5c | 1,451$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…dde2backed Yes | 6c | 1,451$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…0772backed Yes | 5c | 1,438$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 70c | 1,430$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…1f8dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,413$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…79e4backed Yes | 5c | 1,351$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,335$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…d430backed Yes | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…6f00backed Yes | 6c | 1,322$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 1,320$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…39eebacked Yes | 5c | 1,313$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…c39cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,285$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…2712backed Yes | 5c | 1,277$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…332ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,272$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…2e13backed Yes | 5c | 1,269$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe861…e822backed Yes | 5c | 1,265$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…af57backed Yes | 5c | 1,249$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…666fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,242$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…1f84backed Yes | 5c | 1,242$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…cfc4backed Yes | 5c | 1,199$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…d14cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,194$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7383…4e68backed Yes | 4c | 1,173$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c6…1206backed Yes | 5c | 1,169$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…ae6abacked Yes | 6c | 1,146$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…16f6backed Yes | 5c | 1,141$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…07bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,138$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…a21dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,102$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…6504backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…d174backed Yes | 18c | 1,100$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb23…23c1backed Yes | 5c | 1,090$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…e7a4backed Yes | 5c | 1,082$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…beb4backed Yes | 5c | 1,070$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf97…aae2backed Yes | 6c | 1,034$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…b4dabacked Yes | 18c | 1,033$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…997ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,028$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…4fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,020$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…150cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,006$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b5…e825backed Yes | 5c | 1,006$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,005$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…61e1backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…21b0backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…0f3dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…d9f3backed Yes | 6c | 990$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7905…e3f0backed Yes | 6c | 980$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…6663backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…74f2backed Yes | 6c | 927$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?this page
- Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.