Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e17f0db6ef871e40b5f7548bb8f50666d3d7989997163f32cc6c8d46b3e8f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 57c | 10,540$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007.77 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.96 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 6,665$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.85 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 4,208$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.31 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed Under | 66c | 3,785$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 1,877$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.41 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 43c | 1,248$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.55 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…8c32backed Under | 52c | 1,213$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 57c | 1,158$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 59c | 898$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.82 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 42c | 803.81$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.85 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 38c | 623.05$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.63 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 57c | 607.61$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.34 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 41c | 504$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Under | 79c | 430.04$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 42c | 306.26$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 43c | 243.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 43c | 179.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 64c | 121.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 110.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 59c | 102.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Over | 29c | 95.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 43c | 82.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Over | 33c | 77.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 67c | 71.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 68.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 62.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 61.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 44c | 58.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 24c | 52.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 78c | 43.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…3c09backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…549cbacked Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Under | 74c | 28.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 46c | 28.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Over | 57c | 19.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.