Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7033b64b44e42eb9b7855be963bd7e050c5a0a5712a82a6b1cd4a204b53a2847
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.92 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 3,316$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.72 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 2,864$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.29 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 1,503$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…3d19backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 74c | 752.57$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.67 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 21c | 617.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 495.89$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…7769backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 47c | 253.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 20c | 184$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 46c | 170.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 27c | 68.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 78c | 65.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Over | 55c | 43.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 37.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Over | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Over | 75c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.