Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213e8532b0ccb58f435bc171d08977496c3eb81b292be13c39e3e08397ec575e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Rennais FC 1901of Lille OSC, Stade Rennais FC 1901
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 68c | 15,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lille OSC | 31c | 13,146$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Lille OSC | 32c | 7,448$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.55 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 67c | 2,742$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.96 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.22 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 69c | 1,930$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Lille OSC | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Lille OSC | 33c | 807$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.31 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Lille OSC | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Lille OSC | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 69c | 404.97$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lille OSC | 31c | 205.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Lille OSC | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Lille OSC | 32c | 146$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lille OSC | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Lille OSC | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lille OSC | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Lille OSC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed Lille OSC | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lille OSC | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Lille OSC | 33c | 31.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)this page
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.