Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1217c5e0c96eadbfd0658e7a70dc103c580c055b645ac0eab871b881fffaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 318.11$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 42c | 199$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 59c | 130.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 60c | 129$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 110.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 108.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 41c | 101.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 42c | 101$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 43c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 58c | 69.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 42c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Yes | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Yes | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Yes | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Yes | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…4ed9backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.