Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf419be940e82f62514c2b6e6b258b77b761eec40ac732df64a8abb2ff773c4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 12,637$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.82 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 77c | 7,800$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 2,190$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.62 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 712.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 76c | 512.49$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 72c | 299$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 11c | 251.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 35c | 177$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Under | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 35c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 64c | 55.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Under | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Under | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 36c | 31.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Under | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Under | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.