TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcccc…dbddbacked No76c15,724$11,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.87666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c9,941$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.541,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Yes25c5,000$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2701040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c3,501$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.11,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c2,839$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.2458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c2,203$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.7533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No76c2,021$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.022254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c1,947$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.161447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40060%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes25c1,160$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Yes24c999.96$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-65.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes7c841.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.338427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb939…81b8backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes5c669$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5129142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c646$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No75c560.41$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.113151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a74cbacked Yes25c560$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1255060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes24c499.93$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6110744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b99…bad3backed Yes25c456.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da1…40cfbacked Yes25c424$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6579…b0a5backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b13…2c26backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.651457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c359.91$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes25c326.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No76c296.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.051573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfccc…c862backed Yes29c289.66$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98c6…e200backed Yes25c272$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked Yes25c219.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.494643.5%20 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Yes25c216$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes25c204$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5160%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No80c200.6$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.614254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…2803backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes7c176.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4320343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c156.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No76c154.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.089160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc48c…8642backed Yes39c131.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4250%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed Yes26c126.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc995…25c2backed Yes42c119.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked Yes27c110.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadd2…350cbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x68e1…cc69backed Yes20c98.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes25c96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed No71c93.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.916152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd547…5ed7backed Yes34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9229034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No75c79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7528357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c74.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.759553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes24c67.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.499054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53b…73f5backed Yes29c64.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7229846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f6…8132backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb311…2b64backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247a…608cbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-63.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No73c48.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b9…215cbacked Yes24c44.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes32c44.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No75c44.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.06666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No75c22.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.747754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No76c20.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.931080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No69c20.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2327450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7995…2b6bbacked No75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No77c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.528027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.758100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No75c14.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.453458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.