TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$424,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$434,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe74a…40eebacked No51c65,175$33,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,239.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c31,928$16,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,183.331,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes49c29,197$14,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,890.377146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes49c22,792$11,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,595.868259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No52c21,680$11,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,176.732133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No50c20,760$10,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,380.056451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes49c16,939$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,638.783839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes49c16,172$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,224.6538748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No50c16,020$8,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,050.317346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No50c16,006$8,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,002.861030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes49c16,000$7,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,149.987060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No52c12,867$6,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,690.718241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes48c12,178$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,285.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No31c11,178$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.5934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c10,931$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.531,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No54c7,985$4,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.051040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa350…1f90backed No52c7,966$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,142.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8259043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes46c6,951$3,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.289159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No51c6,604$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.989341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c6,048$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.7458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No53c6,000$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…eecbbacked No51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No51c5,770$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.045453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55017853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No53c4,735$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.976139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c3,774$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.3263346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd36b…47edbacked Yes47c3,557$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780a…f26dbacked No53c3,550$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No52c3,065$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5602030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes39c2,876$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes48c2,861$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.4630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…30d2backed Yes49c2,286$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed No51c2,044$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0204540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes49c1,853$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.212040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed No52c1,700$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes38c1,597$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.420462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes64c1,505$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.011827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcdb…461abacked No50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes49c1,397$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.532445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes46c1,313$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.8336851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1e…4aabbacked No58c1,288$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes44c1,224$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Yes48c1,190$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No52c1,173$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Yes50c1,140$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1434…bb9abacked No52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c1,096$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.1319755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No55c1,058$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.949547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes60c1,007$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.292755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5404052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes50c999.99$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.996443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes49c999$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.493360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes39c959.36$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.21837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No15c873$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1220343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes50c855$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes56c755.62$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6510744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c695$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed No51c692.16$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e08…068dbacked No24c670$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes77c633.77$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No51c604$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.45341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c570.36$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes48c553.62$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No63c510.95$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.99643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x720b…d2cdbacked Yes48c500$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2559444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…ea07backed No52c488.96$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes50c456$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2286145.9%28 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Yes50c454$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+76.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes44c449.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.495646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes80c439.72$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7212450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43d…8f2bbacked No57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes59c434.13$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.843060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes47c429.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.93740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed No54c409$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.771369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes50c402.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No51c395.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.952236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8721…c2b1backed No57c380$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes42c358.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4510143.6%44 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No22c354.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.78427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No51c340$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.454544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes49c326.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7729034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed No54c314.9$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.