NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedc15ebc401dfb86fe255bbe32b51c2b787dfa366ec8c7a1decb6576d93182af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Heat, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,696,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,780,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,696,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 813 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf98d…7adbbacked Celtics | 72c | 200,018$144,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,033.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 28c | 157,158$43,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,846.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Heat | 0c | 123,611$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 0c | 106,584$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Celtics | 73c | 79,489$58,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,461.91 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 69c | 56,561$39,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,262.83 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Heat | 28c | 55,833$15,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,650.01 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Heat | 30c | 52,427$15,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,614.56 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Celtics | 71c | 48,014$34,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,947.06 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Celtics | 60c | 41,086$24,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,545.05 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 27c | 40,553$11,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,106.48 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Heat | 2c | 35,135$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.94 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Celtics | 71c | 33,098$23,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,737.72 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics | 72c | 26,382$18,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.2 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 28c | 24,576$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,985.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Heat | 24c | 18,448$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.44 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Celtics | 51c | 18,011$9,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845.2 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heat | 29c | 17,339$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.89 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…1e2dbacked Heat | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Heat | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Heat | 2c | 15,646$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.68 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Celtics | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.96 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 30c | 14,379$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.26 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Heat | 43c | 13,600$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,796.99 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 72c | 13,108$9,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Celtics | 68c | 12,713$8,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.17 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 70c | 11,581$8,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.67 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…cf16backed Heat | 30c | 11,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics | 69c | 11,154$7,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.79 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 18c | 10,836$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics | 71c | 10,526$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.19 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Heat | 19c | 10,450$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.88 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Heat | 30c | 10,000$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.11 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Heat | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Heat | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Heat | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 32c | 9,884$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Heat | 28c | 9,834$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.77 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Heat | 29c | 9,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.94 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 70c | 8,717$6,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 32c | 8,533$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 73c | 8,414$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…c638backed Heat | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 37c | 8,218$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heat | 21c | 8,045$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.25 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heat | 29c | 7,873$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.79 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Heat | 30c | 7,095$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Celtics | 73c | 7,000$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 73c | 6,218$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 31c | 6,100$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Celtics | 69c | 5,883$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.6 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Heat | 28c | 5,866$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.44 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 28c | 5,825$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.5 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Celtics | 65c | 5,796$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.13 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 28c | 5,449$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.85 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 69c | 5,088$3,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.87 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Celtics | 60c | 5,083$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.79 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 5,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Heat | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Heat | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Heat | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Celtics | 69c | 4,999$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.68 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Celtics | 70c | 4,874$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.41 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 27c | 4,600$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.54 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Heat | 0c | 4,425$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Celtics | 69c | 3,914$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.88 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Heat | 51c | 3,898$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Celtics | 73c | 3,500$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Heat | 16c | 3,479$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 40c | 3,387$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.44 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 34c | 3,347$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 27c | 3,290$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.7 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 70c | 3,273$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.68 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Heat | 31c | 3,219$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.4 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1634backed Celtics | 69c | 3,125$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Heat | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Celtics | 67c | 2,998$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.9 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Heat | 29c | 2,930$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.27 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Heat | 31c | 2,924$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.5 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Celtics | 69c | 2,904$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.09 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics | 69c | 2,828$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Celtics | 72c | 2,800$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Celtics | 60c | 2,767$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.67 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Heat | 27c | 2,763$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.01 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Heat | 34c | 2,710$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.11 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…fa9bbacked Heat | 36c | 2,503$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Heat | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Heat | 17c | 2,350$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.48 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Celtics | 68c | 2,276$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.19 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 68c | 2,218$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.95 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 76c | 2,215$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heat | 23c | 2,199$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…316bbacked Heat | 24c | 2,159$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Heat | 24c | 2,115$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.56 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Heat | 19c | 2,086$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heat | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…c852backed Heat | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…14c9backed Heat | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Over won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Over won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Over won
- Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.