NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b216bd1b34f4abcc1da39e6aceaf10ed3aaa94a4ea7873245549ea2ad286f8

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $138,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $141,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,241 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under	50c	60,000$30,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,000	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-12.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	28,672$14,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,469.73	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under	50c	19,515$9,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,754.4	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	50c	16,100$8,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,050	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	49c	15,666$7,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,956.34	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad01…ac86backed Over	50c	10,946$5,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,473.2	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef68…a0afbacked Over	50c	8,926$4,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,462.76	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…ae5abacked Over	50c	8,866$4,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,432.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over	50c	7,536$3,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,768	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	49c	7,000$3,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,570	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x247c…ad22backed Under	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf953…53eabacked Over	50c	4,856$2,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,427.85	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	50c	4,572$2,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,286	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	44c	3,364$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.78	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	51c	2,685$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.5	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over	50c	2,619$1,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.72	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	50c	2,105$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.26	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	55c	2,026$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.69	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Over	50c	1,915$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.33	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	46c	1,299$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.52	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	48c	1,081$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.77	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Under	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Over	50c	852.8$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.4	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	51c	695$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.45	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	44c	550$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over	48c	443$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.36	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	55c	440$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over	49c	342.84$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.86	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Under	50c	330$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	56c	300$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over	46c	282.61$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.61	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c70…a951backed Over	50c	210$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e6…b2b5backed Under	51c	210$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.1	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c08…c362backed Over	49c	209.69$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bed…65a7backed Over	49c	208.06$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Under	54c	206$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.24	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x575f…d366backed Over	49c	205.63$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c75…6a36backed Over	49c	204.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.05	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over	50c	200.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.04	189	54.5%103 W · 86 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	49c	193.77$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.82	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked Under	51c	136.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under	54c	120$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	213	55.9%119 W · 94 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…e5efbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c62…01a3backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under	51c	99.58$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	46c	98$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.92	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Under	54c	94.44$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Under	53c	94.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	45c	91.06$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.12	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	50c	90.41$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	81$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over	49c	76.3$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.91	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d8…0074backed Over	49c	70.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+3.1wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+109.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	44c	70.45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.39	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under	57c	70.18$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	48c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Under	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under	53c	68$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.04	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…073cbacked Over	50c	66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+113.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab5…fa69backed Over	49c	59.18$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Over	43c	58.13$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.13	342	46.8%160 W · 182 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Over	46c	53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.39	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over	49c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.75	854	49.4%422 W · 432 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f1…5fcbbacked Over	49c	48.98$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ed…583abacked Over	49c	46.94$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…d76cbacked Over	49c	44.9$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f86…5bb2backed Over	49c	42.86$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under	59c	42.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	50c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	49c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.6	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	40c	39.26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over	45c	38.18$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Under	55c	38.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	53c	37.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	48c	30.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.93	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3a…2a90backed Under	49c	30.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Over	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	55c	28.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Over	47c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.19	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Over	47c	22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event