NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f1a15222aedf2179d5474414c5d4f11524ef228deafdf2289d25ec82b96dc6

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Heat
Resolved: Dec 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $155,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $199,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,318 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Celtics	57c	43,536$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,535.92	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Heat	45c	26,314$11,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,775.03	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Heat	42c	25,362$10,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,651.96	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.99	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	44c	9,504$4,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,154.27	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics	55c	8,109$4,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,677.08	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…b736backed Heat	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x306f…3393backed Celtics	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Celtics	58c	4,303$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,802.51	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Celtics	58c	4,039$2,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.55	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Celtics	56c	3,600$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Heat	45c	3,196$1,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,434.4	175	54.9%96 W · 79 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Heat	42c	3,155$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heat	43c	2,791$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.05	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Celtics	55c	2,223$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.35	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf745…a87fbacked Heat	46c	2,065$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Celtics	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Heat	44c	1,561$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat	43c	1,369$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.53	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Celtics	55c	1,091$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.91	386	49.5%191 W · 195 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	43c	1,073$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.33	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Heat	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Celtics	55c	992.54$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.64	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Celtics	55c	780.64$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.29	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Heat	44c	600$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics	58c	600$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Celtics	56c	510.07$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.43	122	45.9%56 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Celtics	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Heat	51c	472.46$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.46	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Heat	45c	437.54$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.89	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Heat	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	55%61 W · 50 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Heat	47c	421.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe29…1c8fbacked Celtics	56c	373.31$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.84	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics	46c	347.73$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.93	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Heat	44c	339.09$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.32	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Heat	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Heat	43c	300$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Celtics	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	217	49.3%107 W · 110 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Heat	47c	285.11$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Heat	47c	214.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Heat	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	44c	189$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Celtics	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Heat	46c	180$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.8	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+10.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Celtics	56c	179$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.76	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Celtics	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Heat	46c	141.32$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.01	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b69…c635backed Heat	46c	127$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Heat	45c	126.1$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.36	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Heat	46c	123$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Celtics	60c	111.67$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.67	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Celtics	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Heat	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c6…830cbacked Celtics	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Celtics	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Heat	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Celtics	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Heat	43c	92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.56	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Heat	52c	92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Celtics	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5470…f84ebacked Heat	46c	89.3$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.08	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Heat	45c	86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b46…1e90backed Heat	46c	76.35$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Heat	43c	75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee7…051fbacked Celtics	60c	66.67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Heat	44c	66.37$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.01	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Heat	64c	59.27$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Heat	43c	56.13$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Heat	46c	55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Celtics	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Celtics	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Celtics	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Heat	45c	49.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-4.2wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x631e…a121backed Heat	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9324…7e95backed Heat	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Celtics	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Heat	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Celtics	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Celtics	55c	41.82$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Celtics	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	191	50.3%96 W · 95 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Celtics	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Heat	44c	39.49$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Celtics	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Heat	43c	37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	197	56.3%111 W · 86 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Celtics	56c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.81	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Celtics	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd663…05ecbacked Celtics	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heat	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8402…76cabacked Celtics	57c	34.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Heat	47c	34.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Heat	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	281	56.2%158 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Celtics	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Celtics	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Celtics	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Heat	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	43cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Celtics	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Celtics	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Celtics	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event