Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589cad93913fbc9cacede313fb6864f969a1f6dd1292bed9e45a266ab8126527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Merrimack College Warriors, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 0c | 6,985$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 23c | 3,371$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.29 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 3,025$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 2,794$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 1,891$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.79 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 28c | 1,833$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 76c | 1,707$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 23c | 1,360$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.79 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 1,123$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 33c | 1,056$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 34c | 835.25$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 69c | 652.6$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 641.38$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 44c | 635.48$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.17 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 498$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 69c | 427.39$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 370.07$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Merrimack College Warriors | 78c | 343.38$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 341.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 301.73$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 67c | 297.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 22c | 272.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…4377backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 258.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 23c | 251.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 29c | 232.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 22c | 201.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 174.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 23c | 149.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 134.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 128.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 106.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 85.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 84.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 29c | 74.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 26c | 73.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 34c | 72.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 56.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 32c | 42.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 38.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 37.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 40c | 34.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 32.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 32.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.