TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,318 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked No57c25,058$14,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,891.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No56c18,069$10,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,997.162955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes43c13,524$5,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,830.9938247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes44c13,230$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,830.3911242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No56c7,195$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.012236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No56c6,640$3,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.582045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c5,976$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.192,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Yes31c5,705$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.29875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No56c5,537$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.095947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed No57c5,526$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c4,345$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.363,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No57c3,683$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.843959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes43c3,500$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.892240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No80c3,362$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.93627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes46c2,740$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65c5…c3f2backed No57c2,633$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No75c2,276$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.2852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes44c2,247$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed No55c2,222$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes44c1,801$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda46…e6e3backed Yes45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes42c1,725$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No54c1,562$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.462540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes25c1,190$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.476929%20 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes44c1,174$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4028…d998backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002025%5 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes22c1,098$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2384436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No52c1,037$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa2…3620backed Yes19c1,026$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes44c999.98$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes46c962.56$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No65c923.22$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes46c877.4$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes17c745$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.652920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes44c703.97$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5533349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3085856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes44c672$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6812545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ca…35cebacked Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe204…0ca8backed No57c644.67$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes47c642.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.30per pick67cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8cb…1f21backed Yes44c586$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes8c540.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1423461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d6c…f7c9backed Yes45c518.38$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c501.65$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…7838backed Yes46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes42c464.31$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.16330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No55c455.55$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed No57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes45c448.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f57…6d00backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Yes7c429$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes6c400$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Yes45c399.36$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c398.26$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9420048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c372.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.842,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes44c347.69$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.981,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9dddbacked Yes4c340.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5f…05afbacked Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10da…54bdbacked Yes6c338.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No57c332.13$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes44c325.41$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes23c317$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.912814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No56c316.31$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.721835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e99…ee36backed Yes17c290.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No70c282.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.91376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes15c273.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.871656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c261.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2431849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c254.5$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9835158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes44c250.01$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.51,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No49c246.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.298947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yes29c235$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.888550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Yes44c234.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes45c231.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d3…522abacked Yes44c226.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes46c226.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.26933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes44c225.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Yes45c224.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes45c220.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No56c204.72$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.083070%21 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8215376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9a74…a307backed Yes44c197.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.