Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1223da85855a1651d01f090de7dd8ce9b5308009ba108f4c351c394d49b65ad7

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,413 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3c1e…9514backed No	1c	9,460$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.73	144	37.5%54 W · 90 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked No	31c	5,561$1,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,714.07	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…593dbacked Yes	78c	4,862$3,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.79	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-14.9wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	1c	3,769$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No	9c	3,316$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.19	147	32%47 W · 100 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+44%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc525…396fbacked Yes	70c	2,886$2,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe730…e424backed No	36c	2,700$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.99	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes	68c	2,500$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1549…46f6backed Yes	66c	2,390$1,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.77	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+6.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8aaf…e864backed Yes	80c	1,525$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed No	31c	1,500$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.52	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed No	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No	1c	1,415$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…d285backed Yes	80c	1,408$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.89	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed No	2c	1,329$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	22c	1,139$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.3	207	50.7%105 W · 102 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43a4…0c73backed No	3c	1,128$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8661…3f45backed No	20c	1,027$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196c…0ffdbacked Yes	68c	1,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No	2c	847.93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff2…90e4backed No	2c	845.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…0884backed Yes	60c	833.33$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed No	2c	799.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No	11c	780.24$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.24	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No	2c	727.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	25c	707.52$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.23	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked No	3c	700$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5f…1d83backed No	15c	697.28$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.84	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ea…0751backed No	26c	670$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.9	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-4.6wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0aa3…3044backed No	31c	645.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23a9…2acdbacked Yes	79c	634.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa772…b445backed No	29c	569.74$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…93e8backed No	24c	510.36$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	26c	500$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	180	60%108 W · 72 L	+19.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb674…0184backed No	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed No	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed Yes	69c	492.5$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.35	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43d…8f2bbacked No	22c	449.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	23c	406$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.93	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b28…e046backed No	23c	398.45$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e8…e169backed Yes	75c	376.53$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No	28c	374.92$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.58	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	18c	370$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8436…648ebacked No	32c	350$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd885…2d1fbacked Yes	59c	336.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…658cbacked Yes	74c	333.8$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bf…7c67backed No	7c	320$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x508a…717abacked Yes	80c	312.28$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.2	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+4.7wins	+0.22per pick	59cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd71f…acd9backed No	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21b6…83d8backed No	15c	300$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…ffd4backed No	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	9c	286.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedaa…5786backed No	18c	278.46$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.75	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe95e…61f2backed No	23c	278.25$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.75	150	41.3%62 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d1…62c2backed No	22c	264.98$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.2	85	58.8%50 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes	59c	264.89$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.5	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed No	31c	226.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	119	42%50 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c6…910ebacked No	31c	210$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.76	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…c2ddbacked Yes	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	9c	199.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x189e…64c3backed No	27c	181.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3f…c3dbbacked Yes	73c	180$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed No	28c	179.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989c…69f4backed No	13c	169.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…0e44backed Yes	63c	163.8$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.61	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0096…de43backed Yes	73c	150$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.9	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55f…36ecbacked Yes	75c	150$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacc8…59c5backed Yes	72c	145.32$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.32	24	83.3%20 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	70cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9336…bb4abacked No	34c	140.95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84da…0a03backed No	27c	128.39$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x186d…01e0backed Yes	79c	127.23$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.23	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0f…035abacked Yes	79c	126.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc05f…9b56backed Yes	79c	126.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d48…6573backed Yes	68c	116.86$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed No	32c	110$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+13.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed No	24c	109$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+65.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Yes	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefe0…4fafbacked Yes	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x877e…038ebacked No	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+4.5wins	+0.25per pick	30cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1d4…9c9abacked No	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.7	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbb…727abacked No	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d7…ef0abacked No	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x321d…ed56backed Yes	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…15bebacked No	29c	95.84$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Yes	75c	93.41$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.92	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fa…177bbacked No	32c	92.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9f…e02ebacked Yes	62c	81.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed No	18c	69.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…73f9backed No	27c	68.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff8…67e2backed No	27c	67.78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd526…03abbacked No	22c	62.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d27…5350backed No	44c	55.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad26…da90backed No	26c	53.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed No	22c	52.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	69	11.6%8 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec15…1233backed No	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8a…4c20backed Yes	78c	48$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes	74c	47.33$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4c…a5f0backed No	32c	43.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f2…9720backed No	25c	40.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Tria FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event