South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39baf08fa26fe7ee89a4af2742e355a19c43a7a249fc1afd7636defa006ae450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 18c | 13,837$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 8,151$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.46 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 31c | 6,796$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.75 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 6,422$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.7 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 79c | 3,997$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.89 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 2,580$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.28 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 1,689$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 67c | 1,080$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.03 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 1,066$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 1,038$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.32 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 66c | 1,017$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.65 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 37c | 975.22$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 951.46$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 24c | 785$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 77c | 729.14$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 725.22$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 28c | 699.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 36c | 649.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.08 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 36c | 520.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 26c | 509.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked No | 72c | 343$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 72c | 303$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 25c | 296$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Yes | 36c | 274.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 79c | 264.94$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed No | 75c | 207$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 7c | 205.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 192.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 170.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 170.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 167$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 33c | 151.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 137.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 137.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 77c | 130.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 73c | 119$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 112.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 19c | 102.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed No | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 83.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 27c | 72.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 71c | 70.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 76c | 68.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked No | 52c | 65.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 63.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 40c | 62.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…64e2backed Yes | 38c | 50.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 48.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…9a2abacked Yes | 26c | 45.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 44.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4146backed Yes | 28c | 42.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Yes | 28c | 38.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 27c | 37.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 69c | 35.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…348dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 73c | 29.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 27.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 25.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 67c | 25.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 72c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…be28backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 74c | 13.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-17?Yes won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.