TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chelsea of Chelsea , PSG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fdc…3ad2backed PSG 14c22,828$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.492231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed PSG 6c21,017$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.123262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Chelsea 25c10,204$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,653.2310040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed PSG 36c7,178$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.5520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Chelsea 75c4,996$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed PSG 17c4,370$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.9644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked PSG 2c4,157$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.53619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked PSG 74c3,970$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Chelsea 27c3,367$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.2124742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed PSG 51c3,216$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6303647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed PSG 75c3,212$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.735858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked PSG 75c3,158$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed PSG 75c3,036$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.873745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb753…f859backed Chelsea 28c2,929$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+252.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed PSG 74c2,870$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Chelsea 31c2,838$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.693661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed PSG 73c2,680$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Chelsea 29c2,514$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.583225%8 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745b…ff04backed PSG 16c2,400$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Chelsea 27c2,049$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Chelsea 26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48021037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7994…c512backed PSG 73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc8…0ad6backed Chelsea 25c1,998$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a1…d723backed Chelsea 26c1,928$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.621241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5643…5390backed PSG 10c1,783$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Chelsea 42c1,741$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4a…ddb8backed PSG 70c1,715$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.152045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x785b…c51dbacked PSG 3c1,700$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c1…d67bbacked PSG 8c1,682$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5760%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1724…fc81backed PSG 73c1,609$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Chelsea 26c1,524$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.762365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Chelsea 35c1,500$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.211656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked PSG 24c1,394$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.37100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x048a…eb07backed PSG 1c1,345$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked PSG 75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Chelsea 55c1,295$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.0524963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xe6b2…d045backed PSG 75c1,290$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.7330%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63c3…2783backed PSG 5c1,284$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed PSG 76c1,263$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked PSG 25c1,224$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6b…47e9backed Chelsea 27c1,200$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+169.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…3cbfbacked PSG 8c1,196$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Chelsea 30c1,180$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+75.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Chelsea 35c1,165$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed PSG 9c1,137$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.352626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Chelsea 57c1,099$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed PSG 7c1,089$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.235628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed PSG 52c1,047$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.4726443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f77…c352backed PSG 19c1,026$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed PSG 74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Chelsea 26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74034449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f86…9f1dbacked Chelsea 27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Chelsea 27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7302070%14 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Chelsea 25c999.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.9929138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked PSG 72c987.66$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.7512956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x732d…95e1backed PSG 5c963.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6acd…d838backed Chelsea 27c900$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6575100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+185.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x518e…61a6backed Chelsea 28c896.43$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed PSG 73c895.82$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb18b…4e0ebacked PSG 76c811.13$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked PSG 74c807.96$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.894337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked PSG 75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf448…e370backed PSG 8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed Chelsea 78c796.58$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Chelsea 25c727.28$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.464766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x735e…a9d4backed Chelsea 26c714.88$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked PSG 73c707$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.97742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked PSG 75c700$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Chelsea 27c699.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Chelsea 27c683.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.317342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed PSG 74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Chelsea 25c655.1$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.61837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed PSG 34c645.12$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.492250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x090c…378ebacked PSG 17c620$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8210…b328backed Chelsea 26c615.38$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f1…42c0backed PSG 7c612.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf562…4099backed PSG 21c610$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked PSG 25c600.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…a9ffbacked Chelsea 26c556.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked PSG 13c550$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-80.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed PSG 17c550$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaba…b656backed PSG 75c529.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…fd58backed PSG 9c520.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…811abacked PSG 31c511.11$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1111…4139backed Chelsea 26c506.07$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.49520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked PSG 20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x797b…32f8backed PSG 8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Chelsea 79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.24269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Chelsea 49c495.19$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.559159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked PSG 29c482.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.898633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Chelsea 26c473.08$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.081553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed PSG 72c459.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.494866.7%32 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4e…e37dbacked PSG 48c458.33$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbc…28c3backed PSG 75c453.16$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.12871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bb0…8557backed PSG 9c451.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d5…9562backed PSG 14c449.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed PSG 45c420.6$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8be4…58d9backed PSG 7c410$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed PSG 75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003545.7%16 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-33.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4aba…238bbacked Chelsea 28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.