TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9bb0…8557

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Boxing at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+94.2%+$485
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$360
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+34.3%+$48.15
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+202.7%+$1,915.06
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$77.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.78
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$315.68
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.32
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$42.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$59.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.