TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x96c6…34a2backed No77c10,793$8,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No76c10,177$7,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Yes23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4558…a2b3backed No74c9,509$7,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No73c7,672$5,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca8…f7e9backed No79c7,630$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…0601backed No73c7,451$5,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f33…200ebacked No79c6,323$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes24c6,074$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.67175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79d4…6d24backed No73c6,036$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5450…5f08backed Yes2c5,522$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3307backed No79c5,164$4,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No75c4,928$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd20a…ab4bbacked Yes29c3,392$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No77c3,336$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5494…faacbacked Yes30c3,284$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a3…046ebacked No3c2,917$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.031100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No74c2,873$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.041258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes18c2,740$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.581315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed No74c2,520$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes21c2,500$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-81.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No74c2,482$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.891040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4977…a981backed Yes28c2,333$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked No71c2,273$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.48875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes22c2,121$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcecb…4edcbacked Yes26c2,055$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c8…2786backed Yes25c2,035$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb3…37f8backed Yes21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…5ddcbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf9a…6d20backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…b574backed Yes1c1,889$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86b…6bdebacked No77c1,690$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3193…8fadbacked Yes30c1,686$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked No71c1,655$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes25c1,643$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.921618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-71.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb48d…b988backed Yes30c1,627$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…6741backed Yes28c1,591$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ca…ac8ebacked No72c1,450$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes5c1,333$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No73c1,329$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb0…c509backed No75c1,327$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3678…08d9backed Yes30c1,317$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe656…5e07backed No77c1,206$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…19e3backed Yes29c1,150$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d12…3b71backed Yes26c1,136$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes23c1,120$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7024…6fb0backed Yes24c1,119$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes27c1,096$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd314…2859backed No77c1,074$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-67.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb4…8167backed No19c1,052$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.12425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…50aebacked No19c1,052$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.12425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3743…e5b6backed No76c1,006$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970f…d100backed Yes26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked No78c999.93$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed No74c966.61$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8697…8a45backed Yes22c947.68$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99b9…9b39backed No54c945$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+43.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42f9…2607backed Yes28c895.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…46f9backed Yes28c870.43$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc438…1378backed Yes27c833.33$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c9…d4cdbacked No74c816.02$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d71…b431backed Yes25c787.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd594…77ecbacked Yes26c775.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20070%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a5…3709backed Yes26c771.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c36…67cdbacked Yes24c765.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x043b…abedbacked Yes26c759.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8924…c8d2backed Yes26c758.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-82.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf91…f6debacked Yes21c756.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed No78c750$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed No72c747.01$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…c2f0backed Yes27c739.57$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0654…1b01backed Yes28c714.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7d…9c14backed Yes29c697.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda1…d9adbacked No77c694.96$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9934…a7ffbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0d…a931backed Yes23c684.77$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dd…8701backed No75c679.06$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.763100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes24c667.35$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.625817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b1…feafbacked Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9377…aed8backed Yes20c651.92$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa175…7166backed Yes30c610.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb34f…e83bbacked No75c597.47$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fe…e772backed Yes28c590$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a0…6e95backed Yes25c553.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No74c548.96$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.074839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x884a…4589backed No77c536.06$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa329…980bbacked Yes25c527.51$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f33…5ff1backed No79c524.29$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb7…c22ebacked No77c523.15$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa4…5bc6backed Yes29c521.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…7538backed Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa136…2965backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55db…7ce1backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…1516backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b0…4013backed No78c499.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2388backed Yes21c480$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.