TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b40…2f6abacked Under57c6,666$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.2875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Under57c4,918$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.211593.3%14 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick59cpaid+59.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c3,778$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.311,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.863943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c1,675$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.9285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c1,635$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over43c1,404$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.585757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c1,379$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.51,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under55c612.44$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.610248%49 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over44c532.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.514438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c497.7$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.051,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over43c388$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over43c388$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.841,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over43c388$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.841,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Under56c379.04$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.141392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick57cpaid+62.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under57c373.38$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9423243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c366.72$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.621,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over38c165.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.218648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c155.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9574156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x333f…3cd6backed Over45c99.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.87911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-80.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Under55c81.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over44c79.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfb…2ac5backed Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over55c56.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c54.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8422644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…9c45backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x132a…79aebacked Under57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.634854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Over44c42.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.761526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9bb0…8557backed Under57c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x370b…bb29backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…1988backed Under56c25.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.515749.7%78 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.