Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b846a65730fbebaaf9567bd369211c6ccb9c4361713afd489d5517076f134df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 57c | 759.15$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 419.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Under | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 57cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 269.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 198$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 160.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 43c | 156.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 59c | 142$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 56c | 125.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 43c | 41.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 33.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 41c | 31.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 59c | 31.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Over | 58c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Fulham FC O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.