TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over57c36,810$20,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,981.716144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c27,696$12,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,279.251,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c19,315$8,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,758.8958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over57c9,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1507750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Over57c8,689$4,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,952.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over53c5,299$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.74461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under43c5,250$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.1539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c5,124$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.5338043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Over56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.224759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c1,924$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…e832backed Over56c1,787$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.87825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over59c1,693$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c1,688$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.4238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c1,668$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.1859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7411…a2adbacked Under42c1,305$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over56c1,220$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.141850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ce…10f8backed Over58c1,013$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e6…e300backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under44c999.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.983050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over52c999$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.489444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c972.42$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.531,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfab5…9878backed Over72c844.89$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46412242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4484860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45614447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over60c770.39$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0137544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over56c647$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3210543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over56c617.36$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.726246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over58c613.88$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.386852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over59c603.37$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3369445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34223947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under43c599.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9413931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under44c599.9$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.943946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over57c508.47$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c493.56$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over55c471.03$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.766253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over55c461.82$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over47c429.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.438356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.421354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.416753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…c31cbacked Over59c355.93$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e3…f0adbacked Over59c338.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over56c336.3$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1810648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c334$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under27c332$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under43c330$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.117251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under43c330$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.117855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd7…029abacked Over59c322.03$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under43c320$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over30c317.66$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8460136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over55c303.64$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16712556%70 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17112748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17111152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17128357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17113552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1713243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under44c299.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.983842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc75…3663backed Over59c288.14$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Over56c287.09$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under43c280$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.613453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over52c257.1$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under32c253.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.032540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over55c250$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.253560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…8a93backed Over71c248.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17540%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over59c246.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.393534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over54c240$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.55872.4%42 W · 16 L+10.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under43c228$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9624327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under63c216.44$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6333851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11418350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1148454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11418754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under43c199.97$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9811750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under28c198.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2538343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over56c192.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under43c190$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.313252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1551…fdc0backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.610650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over56c178$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.