Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3302de8582138b2f27bd215b6fea2a99c3beb0d6e046b18868efeaf80c94a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenham Hotspur FCof Tottenham Hotspur FC, BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 75c | 1,162$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.72 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 45c | 601.39$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 63c | 518.07$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 15c | 397.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.62 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 50c | 210.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…614bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 16c | 131.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 58.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 70c | 40.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 46c | 26.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 47c | 22.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)this page
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.