Champions League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1ab64e422942b677dd6ea1cd711bc404133a5950a59b83bb8c8951d97f277e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 14c | 3,214$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.13 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 17c | 440.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Under | 70c | 255.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 19c | 216.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 164.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 17c | 151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Over | 18c | 112.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Under | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed Under | 79c | 67.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Under | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.