Champions League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717a7ad8c1b3f762ad140fcbd735999e18ee0696ff0d7941d88b597e2f97fdc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 6,888$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.26 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 2,280$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 20c | 1,147$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,023$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.17 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 79c | 755.94$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 79c | 631.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 80c | 617.35$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 11c | 383.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 21c | 237.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 25c | 208.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 11c | 206.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 80c | 200.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…0f86backed Over | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 79c | 111.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 21c | 79.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 67.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Over | 79c | 41.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…02e1backed Over | 80c | 25.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…01debacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.