TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under55c159,195$86,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,886.625154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over43c79,000$34,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,739.983148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over45c40,066$18,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,977.4253348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c34,283$18,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,151.5116860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over43c30,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,10024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under57c25,588$14,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.3112055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c24,746$10,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,057.651,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under57c15,109$8,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,612650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over47c14,855$6,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,883.1127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c8,656$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,756.8847348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over44c8,591$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,811.0523937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over48c6,767$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.841450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db0…d3eabacked Under54c6,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.991030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over70c6,184$4,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.15785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Over47c6,147$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.811546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over44c5,682$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.8212249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over44c5,250$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.9828447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3002045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over43c4,696$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.7319651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c4,567$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over44c4,381$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.313033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under56c3,800$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12822142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c3,640$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.420661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over43c2,457$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.024148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Over46c2,387$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.967259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c2,314$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.8477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over43c2,303$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.7126649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over43c2,149$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14039447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c1,798$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.0810858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under57c1,777$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.465141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over47c1,657$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.9413752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4940…8204backed Over46c1,359$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5942454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over44c1,061$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5a…4a26backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Under57c999.99$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Under55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over42c908.6$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9956852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed Under45c871.33$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.35837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+99.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c848.31$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Over50c795.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1513641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Over42c700$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c655.45$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.451560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over46c565.22$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.222236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over42c530$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde71…01d9backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2858650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over43c459.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.831560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c453.66$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5516349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under54c444.23$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.881926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7820443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d5…b033backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…449cbacked Under57c404.04$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over44c400.49$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2717656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Over43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22831540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under56c392.86$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ca…8ff3backed Under54c379.12$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…ee0bbacked Over47c374.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over57c374.47$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4712748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a1…34bebacked Under54c373.25$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b0…5478backed Over47c373.01$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under45c333.82$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.445850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Under57c328.07$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Under56c286$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over54c283.32$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6523850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Over44c273.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.781384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c273.04$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.149855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c272.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under46c271.06$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6919439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over71c269$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3420757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over45c245$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7320238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Under58c240.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over61c220.16$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.162572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Under56c220$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.22326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb728…fc92backed Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x021f…120dbacked Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Over46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over54c177$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4235648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over43c174$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.182138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Over48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834949%24 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0f…ae5ebacked Under56c152.05$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.524352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090e…28babacked Over46c143.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f95…8100backed Over44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under58c136$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf669…77c1backed Over46c135.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under13c125.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.956055%33 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under57c123.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.33046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f9…a5d4backed Under56c116.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.