TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf397…3befbacked No1c1,300$13 inLost-$13450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No51c1,057$538 inLost-$538.394944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed No1c1,000$10 inLost-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No60c823.99$492 inLost-$491.7112748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No53c607.71$323 inLost-$322.7823850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked No2c532.23$11 inLost-$10.644515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes33c484.85$160 inWon+$324.855957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No50c476.51$240 inLost-$240.0210346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Yes48c414.1$200 inWon+$214.461566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+149.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfccd…b1afbacked No23c400$94 inLost-$94728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…f5fcbacked Yes48c289.99$140 inWon+$149.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes51c272.89$140 inWon+$132.8913641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df1…7ba9backed Yes47c200$93 inWon+$1072657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes34c195.82$66 inWon+$129.741838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x461a…457abacked Yes44c158.51$70 inWon+$88.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d5…74eabacked Yes33c153.03$50 inWon+$103.032254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No32c146.93$46 inLost-$46.3620757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc46…ffb7backed Yes46c107.55$50 inWon+$57.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xede3…de3fbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon+$62.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7413…811ebacked Yes52c97.03$50 inWon+$47.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d61…fba4backed No53c94.98$50 inLost-$50.341020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f4…1b90backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes50c79$40 inWon+$39.537556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes51c58.85$30 inWon+$28.856251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Yes46c50$23 inWon+$2718245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d75…d730backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon+$26.51933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.484156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45a6…2182backed Yes45c40$18 inWon+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.744647.8%22 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…5cacbacked Yes47c29.79$14 inWon+$15.792458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon+$14.414261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes39c28.36$11 inWon+$17.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e09…56efbacked No61c24.59$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.