TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd23…e31fbacked No40c1,759$695 inLost-$6951369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Yes61c1,000$610 inWon+$39019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed No1c1,000$10 inLost-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa522…9bdcbacked Yes60c605$363 inWon+$242450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No39c554.77$214 inLost-$213.795044%22 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No37c336.43$124 inLost-$124.4810346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked Yes62c286$178 inWon+$107.542528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yes57c197.86$113 inWon+$85.0820650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No38c193.37$73 inLost-$73.4841540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed No42c171.77$73 inLost-$731070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes59c170$100 inWon+$69.755345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d7…8b52backed Yes62c162.35$100 inWon+$62.352240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Yes69c136.68$95 inWon+$41.831947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Yes62c96.77$60 inWon+$36.773562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d61…fba4backed Yes58c86$50 inWon+$36.121020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a2…8a8dbacked Yes61c84.25$51 inWon+$32.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc46…ffb7backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon+$31.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf397…3befbacked Yes67c75.78$51 inWon+$25.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…abccbacked No43c61$26 inLost-$26.232850%14 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes63c55.56$35 inWon+$20.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5d…f64abacked Yes61c50$31 inWon+$19.51844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…4da2backed No43c50$21 inLost-$21.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df1…7ba9backed Yes61c50$31 inWon+$19.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5281…0f17backed No42c47.43$20 inLost-$19.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d8…69fabacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…5cacbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.792458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70d…c1ffbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon+$11.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes60c25$15 inWon+$1037556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Yes63c23.97$15 inWon+$8.974261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.