TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 52.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1f4…544cbacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost-$2,3501752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c3,778$2,002 inWon+$1,775.6610858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c2,554$1,241 inWon+$1,312.8373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c2,091$962 inLost-$961.9212055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under51c2,091$1,065 inLost-$1,065.415141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon+$9202152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over53c1,072$569 inWon+$503.555042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under46c467.29$215 inLost-$214.955850%29 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over53c250$133 inWon+$117.519651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over53c200$106 inWon+$9419124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a70…2831backed Under62c80.65$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over69c66$46 inWon+$20.4635648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Under31c66$20 inLost-$20.465131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed Under40c40.4$16 inLost-$16.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over58c30$17 inWon+$12.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ca…3d64backed Over55c30$17 inWon+$13.53030%9 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-52.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over54c24.07$13 inWon+$11.073070%21 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.