NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe2aa5fd7e2b50cb5f6e01a993166c2236f78fb0cce22622a4061f115b06837

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $479,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $402,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,644 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf1f4…544cbacked Under	50c	226,433$113,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113,000.42	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over	50c	189,588$94,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94,794.17	169	55%93 W · 76 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	34c	66,234$22,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,611.09	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under	16c	52,810$8,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,698.62	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	28c	18,900$5,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,292	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	49c	12,000$5,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,879.98	249	57%142 W · 107 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Under	12c	10,005$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.6	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under	22c	10,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	34c	9,742$3,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,312.34	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Over	51c	9,700$4,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,753	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	18c	8,988$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,617.29	259	56.8%147 W · 112 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	8,938$4,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,469.15	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Over	51c	4,221$2,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,068.21	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Over	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.57	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	48c	3,146$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.29	373	50.9%190 W · 183 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	48c	2,964$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.77	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under	51c	2,949$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.34	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	49c	2,642$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,294.44	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over	51c	2,267$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,110.73	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	39c	2,244$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.58	108	58.3%63 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under	19c	2,200$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.99	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Over	52c	1,538$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.46	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	26c	1,511$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.21	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Over	52c	1,041$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.78	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Over	51c	891.24$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.71	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over	52c	865.38$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.38	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	52c	823.08$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.08	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+10.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67a8…1f1ebacked Over	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	49c	700.27$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.12	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	48c	599.99$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Under	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+54%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e4…22cbbacked Over	51c	490.2$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.2	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	32c	468.75$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	149	52.3%78 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over	52c	411.54$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.54	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over	51c	329.15$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.28	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over	51c	274.51$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.51	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under	49c	249.99$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over	51c	245.1$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.1	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf632…02aabacked Over	48c	230$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.6	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+4.3wins	+0.27per pick	42cpaid	+73.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	117	40.2%47 W · 70 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24fc…2d72backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3df1…7ba9backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ab…dd76backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under	28c	187.1$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.39	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	29c	162$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Over	52c	160$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.8	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	35c	152.42$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.51	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf0…5f11backed Over	52c	144.23$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.23	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d13…082cbacked Over	51c	140.35$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.77	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	49c	133.34$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.34	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	49c	122.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+11.6wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-5.6wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1257…793fbacked Under	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over	50c	92$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4a0…d97ebacked Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under	39c	75.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Under	44c	67.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Over	51c	41.18$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x669d…ec4cbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28a…fc48backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over	51c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.15	172	55.2%95 W · 77 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	70c	34$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc4…aab5backed Over	68c	29.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.56	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6142…367bbacked Over	52c	19.8$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5this page
1H Spread: Seahawks (-0.5)Seahawks won
Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
Davante Adams: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Davante Adams: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
Davante Adams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5Over won
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownKenneth Walker III won
Kyren Williams: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Kyren Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5Under won
Matthew Stafford: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Over won
Puka Nacua: Anytime TouchdownYes won
Puka Nacua: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5Under won
Rams Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
Rams Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
Rams vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 49.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 51.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 52.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 53.5Over won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 62.5Under won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 63.5Under won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 64.5Under won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 68.5Under won
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 71.5Under won
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 14.5Over won
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
Spread: Rams (-2.5)Seahawks won
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Rams won
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)Rams won
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Rams won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event