TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,492 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c20,469$10,355 inLost-$10,354.6324957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon+$5,1002560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under53c5,659$2,996 inLost-$2,995.853043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over50c4,588$2,294 inWon+$2,29419651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c4,038$1,898 inWon+$2,140.0875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over49c1,763$864 inWon+$899.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over50c1,180$590 inWon+$5901145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over50c1,175$588 inWon+$587.54761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over50c1,175$587 inWon+$587.842365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over52c621$322 inWon+$298.645141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c620.55$292 inWon+$328.8912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over47c500$235 inWon+$26519439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c416$200 inLost-$199.6815252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over48c350$168 inWon+$18227633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c109.43$52 inLost-$52.489855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over49c102.1$50 inWon+$52.071080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+78.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over50c100$50 inWon+$501560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Over50c100$50 inWon+$501384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over49c84.84$42 inWon+$43.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over50c60$30 inWon+$303447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon+$26.62839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over48c50$24 inWon+$265040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over50c45.42$23 inWon+$22.713548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Over50c43.46$22 inWon+$21.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under49c40$20 inLost-$19.613751.8%71 W · 66 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under49c30$15 inLost-$14.734247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over50c26$13 inWon+$133070%21 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.