Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ba461f8cebbaa969ba0b1ac45b50c48c8d502bff354b2b14609ecd1d12ea65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Ozarox Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe740…f9e3backed Ozarox Esports | 1c | 8,243$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Misa Esports | 42c | 3,680$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.18 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Misa Esports | 77c | 2,171$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.23 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ozarox Esports | 42c | 2,127$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.42 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.09 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Misa Esports | 40c | 1,807$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.49 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Ozarox Esports | 42c | 1,794$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.77 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Ozarox Esports | 23c | 1,106$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ozarox Esports | 62c | 897.91$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.04 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ozarox Esports | 54c | 760.27$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.7 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Ozarox Esports | 4c | 706$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Ozarox Esports | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ozarox Esports | 60c | 639.71$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Ozarox Esports | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Ozarox Esports | 56c | 466.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Ozarox Esports | 24c | 411$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ozarox Esports | 36c | 402.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Ozarox Esports | 30c | 385.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Ozarox Esports | 21c | 352.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Ozarox Esports | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Ozarox Esports | 55c | 273.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 269.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…c3a4backed Ozarox Esports | 24c | 264.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked Ozarox Esports | 24c | 245.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Misa Esports | 70c | 244.15$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed Misa Esports | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Misa Esports | 77c | 200.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…5442backed Ozarox Esports | 59c | 193.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Misa Esports | 77c | 188.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Ozarox Esports | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Misa Esports | 66c | 164.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Ozarox Esports | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…ad79backed Misa Esports | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 146.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Misa Esports | 54c | 138.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Misa Esports | 20c | 123$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Ozarox Esports | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 104.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Ozarox Esports | 25c | 104.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…f944backed Ozarox Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Ozarox Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…c59fbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ozarox Esports | 58c | 97.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ozarox Esports | 52c | 97.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Ozarox Esports | 24c | 93.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Misa Esports | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Misa Esports | 39c | 89.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Ozarox Esports | 47c | 79.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Misa Esports | 77c | 77.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 70.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 63.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Misa Esports | 47c | 54.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 52.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Misa Esports | 78c | 49.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Ozarox Esports | 46c | 42.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Ozarox Esports | 67c | 42.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Ozarox Esports | 66c | 42.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 250 | 74.8%187 W · 63 L | +42.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Misa Esports | 40c | 30.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ozarox Esports | 41c | 26.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Misa Esports | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Misa Esports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Misa Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…f1f8backed Misa Esports | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Misa Esports | 77c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs Ozarox Esports (+2.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.