Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc7aca2025b11e3fd230948226b271082f4d2aa4e0b724b3f21a21486290372e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Ozarox Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Ozarox Esports | 23c | 2,726$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.88 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…36a8backed Ozarox Esports | 23c | 1,846$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Ozarox Esports | 21c | 958.21$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked Ozarox Esports | 11c | 844.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Ozarox Esports | 15c | 689$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked Ozarox Esports | 23c | 636$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Ozarox Esports | 20c | 515$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 494.67$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Ozarox Esports | 23c | 411$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Ozarox Esports | 20c | 374.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 77c | 358.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Ozarox Esports | 4c | 351.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Misa Esports | 77c | 340.91$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Ozarox Esports | 20c | 320$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…2ab1backed Ozarox Esports | 22c | 306.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Ozarox Esports | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Misa Esports | 78c | 290$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Ozarox Esports | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Misa Esports | 78c | 228$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ozarox Esports | 23c | 222.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Ozarox Esports | 21c | 193.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Ozarox Esports | 11c | 188.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Misa Esports | 77c | 179.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Ozarox Esports | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Misa Esports | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 88.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Misa Esports | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ozarox Esports | 21c | 57.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Misa Esports | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Misa Esports | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs Ozarox Esports (+2.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.