Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs Ozarox Esports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48db429f4982924e082b934f40355eb19fbd03dcb459998cc1c3b181978deb6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Ozarox Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 4,374$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.31 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Misa Esports | 49c | 3,947$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.46 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ozarox Esports | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 1,488$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.87 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 1,357$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.11 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Ozarox Esports | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.94 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Ozarox Esports | 49c | 1,125$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.05 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 1,112$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.6 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Ozarox Esports | 51c | 1,100$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.4 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Ozarox Esports | 52c | 1,008$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Ozarox Esports | 47c | 897.34$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.55 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 895.51$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Misa Esports | 50c | 731.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Ozarox Esports | 47c | 683.69$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.33 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 539.56$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Ozarox Esports | 53c | 537.74$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Misa Esports | 46c | 499.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Ozarox Esports | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Ozarox Esports | 52c | 368.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Misa Esports | 48c | 324.49$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…7f76backed Ozarox Esports | 54c | 302.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Misa Esports | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Misa Esports | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Ozarox Esports | 52c | 292.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ozarox Esports | 51c | 253.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Misa Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Misa Esports | 49c | 129.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Misa Esports | 48c | 104.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 83.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Misa Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 71.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Ozarox Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ozarox Esports | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 48c | 36.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed Ozarox Esports | 47c | 32.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed Ozarox Esports | 52c | 28.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Ozarox Esports | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Misa Esports | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Ozarox Esports | 51c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Misa Esports | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs Ozarox Esports (+2.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.