Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdac996bbffca4e3f4908f0f94f8de3ca709b6a052b0dc6395508da320cadec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Ozarox Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 2,138$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.24 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Ozarox Esports | 22c | 1,970$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.23 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Ozarox Esports | 24c | 1,746$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Ozarox Esports | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 1,320$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Ozarox Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Ozarox Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Misa Esports | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ozarox Esports | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Ozarox Esports | 12c | 260$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ozarox Esports | 25c | 250$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Misa Esports | 77c | 218$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Ozarox Esports | 24c | 216.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ozarox Esports | 24c | 216$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ozarox Esports | 24c | 185.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ozarox Esports | 15c | 182.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Ozarox Esports | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Misa Esports | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Ozarox Esports | 7c | 151.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Ozarox Esports | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Misa Esports | 77c | 115.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 47.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Misa Esports | 77c | 29.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Misa Esports | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs Ozarox Esports (+2.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.