Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29aca6349ee2d355a0eee385dcaf71d795fc5cc4ccb0b8a9888ea8a1b569a6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 48c | 2,361$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.11 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…7f76backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 52c | 857.69$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 41c | 450$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 61c | 267.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…38edbacked Over | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 54c | 160$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 48c | 148.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Under | 52c | 147.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Over | 52c | 116.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 48c | 78.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 58c | 76.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 49c | 57.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Over | 48c | 50.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Over | 48c | 49.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Over | 48c | 47.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…d004backed Under | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Over | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: ME (-2.5) vs Ozarox Esports (+2.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.