Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af66fce8c61d4418ea63c2b877a732a130342b622ac16c5aae4689d1e9ea56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIRof MIR, AlQadsiah Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed AlQadsiah Esports | 1c | 2,550$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked AlQadsiah Esports | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 1.4%1 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed AlQadsiah Esports | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed AlQadsiah Esports | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed MIR | 42c | 920.68$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.28 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked MIR | 30c | 844.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed AlQadsiah Esports | 36c | 551.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MIR | 50c | 521.93$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.24 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIR | 63c | 377.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIR | 62c | 376.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed AlQadsiah Esports | 58c | 347.06$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed AlQadsiah Esports | 32c | 335$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked AlQadsiah Esports | 70c | 334.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed AlQadsiah Esports | 63c | 321.61$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked AlQadsiah Esports | 27c | 307.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MIR | 76c | 291$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AlQadsiah Esports | 21c | 216.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed AlQadsiah Esports | 75c | 204.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked MIR | 62c | 202.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked AlQadsiah Esports | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed MIR | 46c | 168.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AlQadsiah Esports | 57c | 160.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed MIR | 61c | 152.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed AlQadsiah Esports | 70c | 147$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed AlQadsiah Esports | 36c | 143$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked AlQadsiah Esports | 61c | 137.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIR | 69c | 131.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked AlQadsiah Esports | 47c | 120.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked MIR | 67c | 120.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed MIR | 49c | 115$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed MIR | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…7d1cbacked MIR | 23c | 86.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed AlQadsiah Esports | 38c | 78.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked AlQadsiah Esports | 28c | 69.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…f944backed AlQadsiah Esports | 61c | 69.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MIR | 35c | 50.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed AlQadsiah Esports | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked AlQadsiah Esports | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed AlQadsiah Esports | 44c | 33.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked AlQadsiah Esports | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed AlQadsiah Esports | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 54c | 25.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked AlQadsiah Esports | 54c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIR vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Cthis page
- Valorant: MIR vs AlQadsiah Esports - Map 1 WinnerMIR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.