NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf10caf75d9c85537b9ba39c31ad4441b0ea627f1bda8efe929e6b65e8b8cc36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 17c | 5,830$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.38 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 2,285$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.56 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under | 66c | 1,309$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 66c | 761.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.21 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 34c | 704.15$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.41 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 36c | 673.44$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 34c | 617.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 33c | 580.32$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Over | 32c | 571.49$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 79c | 365$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 72c | 365$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 67c | 342.68$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 25c | 307.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 34c | 301.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 26c | 281.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 68c | 274$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 67c | 201.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 74c | 200.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 68c | 189.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 31c | 178.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 33c | 145$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 76c | 126.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 32c | 109.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 67c | 107.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Under | 75c | 105.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 27c | 92.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 36c | 84.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 64c | 84.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 82.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 80.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 72c | 79.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 73c | 78.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 71.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 78c | 71.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 62c | 63.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 64c | 56.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 52.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 27c | 52.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 39c | 49.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 22c | 46.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 68c | 43.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 34c | 37.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 67c | 37.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 76c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 78c | 21.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 78c | 21.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 78c | 21.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…086abacked Under | 68c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3da3backed Under | 68c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlyersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.