TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Jay Clarke

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Christopher O'Connellof Christopher O'Connell, Jay Clarke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5201…d9d6backed Jay Clarke3c15,860$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.41127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick10cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Jay Clarke3c12,500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Jay Clarke74c10,813$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00015351%78 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke30c7,132$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.1611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked Jay Clarke5c6,500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Christopher O'Connell27c5,300$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.679,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Jay Clarke3c3,266$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.681389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Jay Clarke3c3,040$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.63716.2%6 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+209.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Christopher O'Connell37c2,990$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.969,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Christopher O'Connell46c2,932$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.9827248.2%131 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Jay Clarke4c2,800$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094932.7%16 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+131.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Christopher O'Connell55c2,538$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.246,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2b…57dcbacked Jay Clarke80c2,506$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-65.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Jay Clarke15c2,348$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6219941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Jay Clarke13c2,147$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0569438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Jay Clarke25c2,080$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3519744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jay Clarke55c1,716$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9403,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Christopher O'Connell66c1,477$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.628,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Jay Clarke29c1,290$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.967025.7%18 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Jay Clarke52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8211637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Christopher O'Connell66c1,081$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.335,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Christopher O'Connell65c953.12$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.764,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Jay Clarke38c938.57$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.31,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Jay Clarke16c913.22$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6318841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jay Clarke35c823.86$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.094,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Jay Clarke14c780$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.42524%6 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick8cpaid+123.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Jay Clarke29c738.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3230040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Christopher O'Connell29c686.21$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.211,05340.9%431 W · 622 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Christopher O'Connell43c641.29$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.562,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Christopher O'Connell60c629.72$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8922352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Jay Clarke65c619.86$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.332,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Christopher O'Connell37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jay Clarke21c494$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.746,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Christopher O'Connell62c483.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.872,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jay Clarke43c463.06$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.788,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Jay Clarke34c455.34$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.823,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jay Clarke60c438$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.724,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Christopher O'Connell25c421$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7526640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Jay Clarke35c418.66$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.212,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Jay Clarke38c407.89$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Christopher O'Connell63c400$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jay Clarke56c383.52$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.891,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Jay Clarke39c364.76$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1136348.2%175 W · 188 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Christopher O'Connell42c355.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.648740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Christopher O'Connell61c310.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.021,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Christopher O'Connell60c297.23$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.464,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Jay Clarke53c287.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Jay Clarke37c280$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.669253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…1a23backed Christopher O'Connell73c275.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.144833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Jay Clarke60c264.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.73040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Christopher O'Connell39c245.77$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9226134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Jay Clarke38c243.52$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5491050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Jay Clarke47c233.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.951,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Jay Clarke51c229.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.511,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Christopher O'Connell47c224.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.313,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Jay Clarke52c218.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Jay Clarke32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.56456.3%36 W · 28 L+18.4wins+0.29per pick27cpaid+109.2%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Jay Clarke36c195.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.487,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Christopher O'Connell64c189.4$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.686,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Christopher O'Connell64c184.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.461,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Christopher O'Connell48c183.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3313948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Christopher O'Connell48c178.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2826253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Christopher O'Connell57c173.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4225948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Christopher O'Connell63c170.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.183,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Jay Clarke60c165.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jay Clarke56c164.63$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.26,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Christopher O'Connell37c161.13$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6430925.9%80 W · 229 L-29.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Christopher O'Connell64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2558145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Christopher O'Connell26c148$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5239052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Jay Clarke15c146.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Jay Clarke15c142.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Christopher O'Connell71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Jay Clarke23c135.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.581,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a17…910dbacked Christopher O'Connell59c127.84$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.845255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Jay Clarke57c127.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7851445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2be0…75b0backed Christopher O'Connell79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582584%21 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Christopher O'Connell62c126.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9386050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Christopher O'Connell63c123.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.511,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jay Clarke34c112.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.185,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Christopher O'Connell35c108.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5729048.3%140 W · 150 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…a143backed Jay Clarke47c107.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Jay Clarke64c102.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6343750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Christopher O'Connell27c97.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5373748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jay Clarke36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Jay Clarke58c95.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.967678.7%532 W · 144 L+49.5wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Christopher O'Connell54c92.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6912942.6%55 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jay Clarke36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Christopher O'Connell62c89.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2983747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jay Clarke24c89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.364,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Christopher O'Connell39c86.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1399148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Christopher O'Connell62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6517046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Jay Clarke40c79.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.111,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Christopher O'Connell27c75.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Jay Clarke40c74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.341,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Jay Clarke73c73.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9638358.2%223 W · 160 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Jay Clarke58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.535,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Christopher O'Connell62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525766.7%38 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Jay Clarke73c63.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5164147.7%306 W · 335 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Christopher O'Connell63c62.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.197338.4%28 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Jay Clarke50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.062,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.