TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36aa…a683backed Heroic0c39,365$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex60c28,173$16,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,350.9442650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic41c24,193$9,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,886.755751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic40c18,703$7,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,408.0845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Heroic68c13,880$9,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,384.555757.9%33 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-22.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex58c12,097$7,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,055.9739660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex59c8,000$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,28010445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex58c6,818$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.6617546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Heroic47c6,366$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.3710342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex42c5,032$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.4755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed Heroic1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Heroic40c4,939$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00034051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic5c3,441$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6680443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic36c2,327$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.3756848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Team Yandex59c2,183$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.057341.1%30 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Yandex65c1,902$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.5426957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex60c1,881$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5434146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Yandex74c1,650$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.4716160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Heroic2c1,305$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.112560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic16c1,273$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1238049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed Heroic44c1,155$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic55c1,154$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.3345046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Heroic43c1,083$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex41c991.41$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.2233850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Heroic28c960$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed Team Yandex35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.141030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex58c820.69$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6953844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Heroic44c815.05$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.218844.3%39 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex57c806.82$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.431,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic42c720.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.121,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3d…9776backed Team Yandex54c699.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Team Yandex60c680.59$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.245949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic20c622.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex58c538$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9655251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8129…5f30backed Team Yandex61c484.58$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Heroic24c484.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.815044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Team Yandex64c471.35$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9610334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Heroic38c452.22$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Heroic46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Heroic11c413$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.396245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Heroic10c399.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-80.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked Heroic10c392$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.879535.8%34 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Team Yandex73c354.19$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1910770.1%75 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex60c340.26$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.129548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Heroic46c332.22$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.519443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fb…4442backed Heroic76c329.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.978763.2%55 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed Heroic29c311.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.655137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2760…ef06backed Heroic69c302.93$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0810759.8%64 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Yandex41c239.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0215345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Heroic46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.221346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic40c211$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.472154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex33c210$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Heroic66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Yandex47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10612132.2%39 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex44c189.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4967853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Heroic57c139.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6533645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Yandex74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1473554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1213…5ed6backed Heroic42c126.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Heroic35c125.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.087424.3%18 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Heroic14c112.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.35318.9%10 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Heroic40c111.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.322839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4059556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Team Yandex63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374963.3%31 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ca…ae4abacked Team Yandex61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Heroic68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6826661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70da…68dbbacked Team Yandex58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex50c99.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8122654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked Heroic42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Heroic46c91.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422931%9 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…b6b4backed Team Yandex57c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.36152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Team Yandex59c79.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Team Yandex57c78.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.957259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814f…d2b3backed Heroic43c74.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Team Yandex44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1825255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed Heroic34c67.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x464f…301bbacked Team Yandex58c62.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Team Yandex60c58.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3713140.5%53 W · 78 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Heroic44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254045%18 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e88…27b4backed Team Yandex66c52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Team Yandex57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8811344.2%50 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Team Yandex63c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.650757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…2f2abacked Team Yandex29c49.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6914134.8%49 W · 92 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23f9…54c0backed Team Yandex68c48.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.654560%27 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…916dbacked Heroic41c48.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf82…6c06backed Heroic44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205927.1%16 W · 43 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ece…e3c8backed Team Yandex57c45.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.514136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Heroic40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.124026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed Team Yandex57c38.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5418253.3%97 W · 85 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Heroic40c37.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530543%131 W · 174 L+18.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3aa…b686backed Heroic44c37.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1304…551ebacked Team Yandex44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.756847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Heroic39c33.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1866848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Team Yandex63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7525248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Team Yandex56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b31…470bbacked Heroic70c28.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic44c25.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.445061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Heroic41c25.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.484436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc11…ed5fbacked Team Yandex48c25.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.191050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.