Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17acb2ddc4ce0e3fa27ec65504964cb161bb076a686fdd7f1430673057e92d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Heroic | 0c | 39,365$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 28,173$16,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,350.94 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 41c | 24,193$9,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,886.7 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 40c | 18,703$7,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,408.08 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Heroic | 68c | 13,880$9,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,384.55 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 12,097$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.97 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 6,818$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.66 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Heroic | 47c | 6,366$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.37 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 42c | 5,032$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.47 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…1c85backed Heroic | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Heroic | 40c | 4,939$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic | 5c | 3,441$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 36c | 2,327$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.37 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Yandex | 59c | 2,183$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.05 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Yandex | 65c | 1,902$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.54 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 1,881$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.54 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Yandex | 74c | 1,650$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heroic | 2c | 1,305$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 16c | 1,273$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Heroic | 44c | 1,155$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic | 55c | 1,154$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.33 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Heroic | 43c | 1,083$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex | 41c | 991.41$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.22 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Heroic | 28c | 960$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Team Yandex | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 820.69$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Heroic | 44c | 815.05$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.21 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 57c | 806.82$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.43 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 42c | 720.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…9776backed Team Yandex | 54c | 699.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 680.59$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 20c | 622.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 538$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.96 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Team Yandex | 61c | 484.58$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Heroic | 24c | 484.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Yandex | 64c | 471.35$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Heroic | 38c | 452.22$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Heroic | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Heroic | 11c | 413$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Heroic | 10c | 399.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Heroic | 10c | 392$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Team Yandex | 73c | 354.19$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 340.26$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Heroic | 46c | 332.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed Heroic | 76c | 329.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Heroic | 29c | 311.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Heroic | 69c | 302.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.08 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Yandex | 41c | 239.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Heroic | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic | 40c | 211$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex | 33c | 210$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Heroic | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Yandex | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex | 44c | 189.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 57c | 139.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Yandex | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…5ed6backed Heroic | 42c | 126.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Heroic | 35c | 125.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Heroic | 14c | 112.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Heroic | 40c | 111.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Team Yandex | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Heroic | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…68dbbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 99.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Heroic | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Heroic | 46c | 91.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed Team Yandex | 57c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Team Yandex | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…d2b3backed Heroic | 43c | 74.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Yandex | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Heroic | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…301bbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 62.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Yandex | 60c | 58.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Heroic | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e88…27b4backed Team Yandex | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Team Yandex | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Yandex | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked Team Yandex | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…54c0backed Team Yandex | 68c | 48.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Heroic | 41c | 48.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Heroic | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…e3c8backed Team Yandex | 57c | 45.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Heroic | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Team Yandex | 57c | 38.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Heroic | 40c | 37.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…b686backed Heroic | 44c | 37.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…551ebacked Team Yandex | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Heroic | 39c | 33.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Yandex | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Team Yandex | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…470bbacked Heroic | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Heroic | 44c | 25.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Heroic | 41c | 25.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…ed5fbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.