TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Team Yandex, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex57c27,805$15,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,726.5355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Heroic48c10,513$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,490.236566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex31c7,607$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.532,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex35c4,160$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.011,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Yandex46c3,803$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.110342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic41c3,000$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.1456848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Heroic41c2,425$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.8732854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Heroic48c2,100$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.5917546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Heroic63c2,082$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.0434468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic41c1,703$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.591,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic39c1,272$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2247660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Heroic41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5112459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Heroic43c1,039$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.6510334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex46c874.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.891,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Team Yandex60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805060%30 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Team Yandex70c764.01$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.3912256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex54c751.35$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex55c699$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3459250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Team Yandex54c655$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.64060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex22c592.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.271,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed Team Yandex41c560$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d84…3c31backed Heroic46c440$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Heroic48c421.42$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8462650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Heroic48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6726453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex52c409.14$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7529548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad8…69c9backed Team Yandex66c406.28$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.09862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Yandex60c398.15$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3918075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Heroic43c309.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6519443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Heroic39c281$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7514453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Team Yandex63c265.15$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.043040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Heroic47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Heroic49c249.4$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3520949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked Team Yandex23c240.93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.586454.7%35 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Heroic33c228.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15329550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Heroic53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9488166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed Heroic41c192.41$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.443360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed Heroic40c188.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7616445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Heroic49c170.51$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5116160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c8a…d30fbacked Team Yandex60c155$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932564%16 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Heroic38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.56245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed Heroic41c146.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.646944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Team Yandex62c145.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed Team Yandex7c145.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic50c135.3$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Heroic41c134.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.394156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Heroic42c131.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5726957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex57c127.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6816248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969b…b75dbacked Heroic43c127.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Heroic36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.95044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9bb9backed Heroic41c122.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.073554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Heroic42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.057259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked Heroic42c117.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.383243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked Team Yandex61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f37…c150backed Heroic46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Heroic41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5948352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Heroic42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2487645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex51c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Heroic70c77.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1454445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex27c68.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Team Yandex53c66.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.684753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44db…0a77backed Heroic47c63.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Heroic48c62.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5332154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.267853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex60c52.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7622654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Heroic45c51.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3722534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex22c50.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2491553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic45c48.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Heroic42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6259556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Team Yandex64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020952.6%110 W · 99 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Heroic40c46.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.737463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf82…6c06backed Heroic41c43.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.95927.1%16 W · 43 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic46c41.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3272154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Heroic40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.950757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Yandex49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.650444%222 W · 282 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Team Yandex58c39.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Team Yandex63c36.37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf3…b401backed Heroic36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d9…1efebacked Heroic60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1304…551ebacked Heroic37c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.756847.1%32 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Team Yandex66c28.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1913140.5%53 W · 78 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e0e…9f75backed Team Yandex67c15.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.