Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x902459dffcce1e3fb20a6913a972a3699a791318b4a16c8b0e1fa95311c869be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heroic | 37c | 144,743$53,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,551.41 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 62c | 97,029$60,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,872.82 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Heroic | 75c | 28,877$21,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,781.29 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Team Yandex | 65c | 23,045$14,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,065.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Yandex | 65c | 20,567$13,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,239.06 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 11,739$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,723.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 41c | 11,718$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,893.24 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Yandex | 40c | 6,196$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.1 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 48c | 6,000$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.82 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 37c | 4,999$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.58 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 37c | 4,497$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.1 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 4,000$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.52 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Heroic | 57c | 3,464$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 3,253$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.2 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic | 22c | 2,715$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 40c | 2,714$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.42 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 2,550$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.92 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Heroic | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a1…d123backed Heroic | 42c | 2,187$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Heroic | 41c | 1,759$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.79 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heroic | 42c | 1,582$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.15 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Heroic | 13c | 1,355$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…e91fbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 1,215$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic | 55c | 1,200$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.73 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Yandex | 69c | 1,074$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.1 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Heroic | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Heroic | 40c | 1,052$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.99 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.1 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Yandex | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Yandex | 65c | 928.98$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.88 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Heroic | 41c | 867.97$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 858.09$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.7 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Heroic | 11c | 800$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Heroic | 15c | 800$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Yandex | 60c | 769.88$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.95 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Heroic | 29c | 689.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 683.35$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Heroic | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Yandex | 63c | 630.97$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Heroic | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Heroic | 36c | 550.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 23c | 546.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…a4a1backed Team Yandex | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Yandex | 58c | 498.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Heroic | 60c | 476.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Heroic | 44c | 459.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Heroic | 42c | 457.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Heroic | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 30c | 343.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 336.15$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Yandex | 12c | 333$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Heroic | 32c | 329.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…3c31backed Team Yandex | 63c | 320$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Heroic | 11c | 309.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Yandex | 72c | 286$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Heroic | 33c | 284$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Heroic | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 33c | 255.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Heroic | 49c | 246.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Heroic | 41c | 241.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Heroic | 55c | 236.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…9776backed Team Yandex | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Yandex | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed Heroic | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic | 37c | 197.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Heroic | 29c | 195$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked Heroic | 38c | 179.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic | 13c | 178.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Heroic | 36c | 170$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Heroic | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 15c | 157.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Yandex | 35c | 155.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Heroic | 42c | 154.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…b686backed Heroic | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0b89backed Heroic | 42c | 142.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Heroic | 13c | 130.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex | 60c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Heroic | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Yandex | 62c | 125.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Heroic | 63c | 119.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Team Yandex | 46c | 118.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Heroic | 43c | 114.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…54c0backed Team Yandex | 62c | 104.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Heroic | 40c | 100.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Heroic | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…6e84backed Heroic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Heroic | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 30c | 98.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex | 34c | 96.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Heroic | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Heroic | 32c | 90.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Heroic | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…b75dbacked Heroic | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 61c | 79.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Heroic | 23c | 78.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Team Yandex | 34c | 75.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 3 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.